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Reputation Activity
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Kman got a reaction from KDave in My first trade - Shell / BP
100% spot on
Speculation and then momentum can carry things a long way before any fundamentals enter the picture
I drew in a bottoming pattern for Shell with a top at 10, I wanted fundamentals to bring it above that an as entry, vaccine news sparked it to life and I wasn't interested because it was rising from speculation, but speculation was always likely to front run real recovery in demand
In certain situations it's better just to go with the tide whether you think the move is sound, too soon or anything else
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Kman got a reaction from AppleZippoandMetronome in 2020 Alderney Three Graces Silver Proof 2oz
You could call the Royal Mint versions modern replicas
Are the Alderney a replica of a replica?
£499?! 🤯 for this
I assume you guys know what you're doing but I just cant see it, seems bonkers
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Kman got a reaction from FlorinCollector in 2020 Alderney Three Graces Silver Proof 2oz
Do Alderney coins have a history of doing well?
Feels like an expensive knock off
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Kman reacted to CoinStruck in Today I Received.....
Thanks Chris @SVcollector for these ten George V sovereigns.
A few interesting mint marks; one 1911 Sydney sovereign, two 1918 Perth sovereigns, three 1927 South African , one 1918 Sydney, one 1913 Sydney. Also two 1911 London sovereigns.
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Kman got a reaction from watchesandwhisky in 2020 Alderney Three Graces Silver Proof 2oz
Do Alderney coins have a history of doing well?
Feels like an expensive knock off
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Kman reacted to AurumArgenti in 2020 Una and the Lion
I received my silver Una back from grading. Sadly no 70 but can't grumble.
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Kman reacted to TheShinyStuff in Today I Received.....
I didn't actually technically receive this, but... I went for a walk (local) with my dad and his dog today and we chatted for a while. He quite likes silver himself, in fact I got into it through him. On last weeks walk we got chatting about the Una & the Lion craziness. Today when we got back to his (I didn't go in, stood at the conservatory door with my mask on!) he said he had something to show me, then he produced this. Sorry about the photos but it was the best I could manage under the circumstances.
1kg proof. Gobsmacked. The most beautiful silver I have ever seen, let alone held. Great day!
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Kman reacted to dicker in What will the price of Gold be (£/GBP) on 1st Jan 2022
Diamonds are a completely bent market.
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Kman got a reaction from AuricGoldfinger in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
To think gold will drop 50% you would have to be incredibly optimistic that the global economy is going to bounce back
I could see gold maybe coming down 10-15% in the short term as stimulus and vaccines hopes continue
But for all the problems under the surface in the economy and monetary system it seems far more like gold will be 50%+ higher in two years
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Kman got a reaction from dicker in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
To think gold will drop 50% you would have to be incredibly optimistic that the global economy is going to bounce back
I could see gold maybe coming down 10-15% in the short term as stimulus and vaccines hopes continue
But for all the problems under the surface in the economy and monetary system it seems far more like gold will be 50%+ higher in two years
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Kman got a reaction from Spanishsilver in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
To think gold will drop 50% you would have to be incredibly optimistic that the global economy is going to bounce back
I could see gold maybe coming down 10-15% in the short term as stimulus and vaccines hopes continue
But for all the problems under the surface in the economy and monetary system it seems far more like gold will be 50%+ higher in two years
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Kman got a reaction from Bars in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
To think gold will drop 50% you would have to be incredibly optimistic that the global economy is going to bounce back
I could see gold maybe coming down 10-15% in the short term as stimulus and vaccines hopes continue
But for all the problems under the surface in the economy and monetary system it seems far more like gold will be 50%+ higher in two years
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Kman got a reaction from Nick1368 in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
To think gold will drop 50% you would have to be incredibly optimistic that the global economy is going to bounce back
I could see gold maybe coming down 10-15% in the short term as stimulus and vaccines hopes continue
But for all the problems under the surface in the economy and monetary system it seems far more like gold will be 50%+ higher in two years
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Kman got a reaction from jultorsk in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
They're roughly the same as normal treasury yields which historically only go down
This is 10 year inflation securities, 10 year yields and gold (orange) flipped vertical to see the correlation
If I had to guess I think they will rise modestly from here bringing gold down until at some point an event happens, whether that be an insolvency or liquidity crisis or both, which will again plummet yields and get gold going again
,
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Kman got a reaction from OldNick in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
They're roughly the same as normal treasury yields which historically only go down
This is 10 year inflation securities, 10 year yields and gold (orange) flipped vertical to see the correlation
If I had to guess I think they will rise modestly from here bringing gold down until at some point an event happens, whether that be an insolvency or liquidity crisis or both, which will again plummet yields and get gold going again
,
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Kman got a reaction from dicker in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
They're roughly the same as normal treasury yields which historically only go down
This is 10 year inflation securities, 10 year yields and gold (orange) flipped vertical to see the correlation
If I had to guess I think they will rise modestly from here bringing gold down until at some point an event happens, whether that be an insolvency or liquidity crisis or both, which will again plummet yields and get gold going again
,
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Kman got a reaction from Chorlton in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
They're roughly the same as normal treasury yields which historically only go down
This is 10 year inflation securities, 10 year yields and gold (orange) flipped vertical to see the correlation
If I had to guess I think they will rise modestly from here bringing gold down until at some point an event happens, whether that be an insolvency or liquidity crisis or both, which will again plummet yields and get gold going again
,
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Kman got a reaction from OldNick in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
I don't think it's anything to do with crypto
I've posted this before but my guess is that banks or other big financial institutions have a program running tracking 10 year inflation securities
When they go lower it triggers gold buys, when it goes higher it triggers sells
gold can get a little bit away due to speculation or for short term fear but this chart is just undeniable
Yields have been rising lately (modestly in the big scheme of things) on senate seats and what that means for fiscal bills being passed
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Kman reacted to dicker in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
Totally agree - the algo trading used by investment banks and hedge funds will have a few more parameters but you have summed it up very well.
I worked in high frequency trading design & development in a past life and saw the HFT and Algo systems mated together to exactly this purpose using other instruments - and they did it very very quickly.
Cheers
Dicker
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Kman got a reaction from AuricGoldfinger in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
Not sure what you mean by updating, just overlayed or live?, you can get a chart of gold vs bitcoin live - https://uk.tradingview.com/symbols/TVC-XAUBTC/
If you overlay gold on bitcoin in pounds it's a bit misleading because they're relative to themselves
The big gold (orange) move up is 35% but bitcoin (pink) is 450%
If you overlay them as purely percentages gold looks like a flat line because bitcoin has gone up so much
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Kman got a reaction from dicker in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
Not sure what you mean by updating, just overlayed or live?, you can get a chart of gold vs bitcoin live - https://uk.tradingview.com/symbols/TVC-XAUBTC/
If you overlay gold on bitcoin in pounds it's a bit misleading because they're relative to themselves
The big gold (orange) move up is 35% but bitcoin (pink) is 450%
If you overlay them as purely percentages gold looks like a flat line because bitcoin has gone up so much
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Kman reacted to Artictim in Today I Received.....
Lovely Silver box from @richatthecroft
Just need a few more bullion pieces to top it up👍👍
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Kman got a reaction from dicker in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
I'm guessing gold and silver went up for fear that there wouldn't be a peaceful transition of power in the US
Now that's all but assured they're easing off
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Kman got a reaction from KDave in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only
I'm guessing gold and silver went up for fear that there wouldn't be a peaceful transition of power in the US
Now that's all but assured they're easing off
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Kman reacted to goluckystayhappy in My first trade - Shell / BP
I took an punt on oilers within an ISA a couple of months ago and they have behaved like a little AIM stock. (In a good way)