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By paulmerton · Posted
I really can't imagine them pulling off a con job by pretending damaged returned coins had gone through the trial. I agree a lot of the coins are a bit overpriced. But it's always nice to have one as a novelty? This time round however, I think there were some really smart buys to be had, with qualities like: never released to the public (so these will be the only 8/9/10 coins around (for a while? forever?!)) very special/for a non-repeatable event (e.g. certain platinum jubilee ones) probably mispriced by RM. e.g. one of the offerings was a 1oz gold bullion maid marian coin for only £1850 or thereabouts. I regret not getting that one 🤣 Some of them really were worth snapping up imho. Other things that have stood out in the past are non-coloured versions of silver coins that were otherwise only available in colour, thus guaranteeing there will only ever be 10 of them in existence. A couple of the silver coins in the trial pieces auction (not the trial of the pyx) were one-of-a-kinds as they were the single only non-coloured versions of a coin (even though they aren't actually coins of course). -
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By Allgoldcoins · Posted
I think you are saying the photos above come from a 1875 Sydney struck sovereign? Dies were prepaired in London and shipped to Australia at this time. The coin shown above is almost certainly a result of a striking error rather than a die error. -
... for the US Much capital flighted to the US due to uncertainties/wars. The S&P500 has been pulled up a lot by the Magnificent 7. As fear subsides so might capital flight out of the dollar to ... wherever 'better' returns might be seen to potentially be made. The UK's FT All Share index has lagged, its PE is around half that of the S&P500, as money leaves the US so might the price of gold in dollars rise, as might a strengthening Pound be additional rewards for US investors who bought Pounds to buy the UK's FT All Share. If a American gives 1.25 USD to buy a Pound, and the FTAS index they buy increases by 15%, and the Pound strengthens to buy 1.35 USD, then the Americans reward is over 24% Historically stock price only (FT Composite/All Share) to gold ratio has broadly seen the two provide similar returns. Stocks obviously pay dividends on top, however we might use that price only / gold ratio as a input into Robert Lichello's AIM - which in turn provides a indicator of how much gold weighting to start each year with in a stock and gold asset allocation/portfolio Historically that yielded better results than just simple 50/50 yearly rebalanced stock/gold, reduced the 30 year SWR risk and in some cases scaled up the rewards considerably. In short, what might be a case of stocks down, gold up ... for American's, needn't be true for a British investor who could see stocks up, gold down. AIM had 2024 start with just 7% gold being indicated, i.e. is suggesting that stocks may start to do well, the price of gold in Pounds may presently be relatively high. AIM has done a reasonable job in the past, for instance with reference to the second chart in the above image late 1960's was a relatively poor start date for retirees, stocks struggled, as was the late 1990's. AIM at those times was suggesting relatively high gold weightings. In the early 1980's after large gold gains and after which gold yielded relatively low/poor returns up to the late 1990's, AIM indicated relatively low gold weightings. Again more recently it is flagging relatively low gold weightings. Perhaps by year end 2024 the Ukraine and Israel wars might have been resolved, fear being replaced with greed, stocks up, gold down. To recent the AIM indicated 7% year start gold weighting (so 93% stock) has been a relatively bad outcome, gold has done well, stocks have been flat, so obviously it is not a great indicator across all of time and time periods, but more broadly it does tend to do a OK job of indicating reasonable/appropriate allocation weightings. -
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