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HawkHybrid

Member
  • Posts

    3,905
  • Joined

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  • Trading Feedback

    100%
  • Country

    United Kingdom

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from AlL in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    imo it's just a weaker £.
    at under $1300 it's not quite at the stage of forcing
    margin calls on shorts.
     
    HH
  2. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from Abyss in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    chartist price gold in usd(currently) cos they want to know how
    the global price trend of gold is moving. pricing it in any other
    currency just introduces more variables.
    eg if £ drops by 10% versus $ and many other currencies. (for
    arguments sake) £ has 10% inflation so £1.10 is required to
    buy what was previously priced at £1.00. let's say gold goes up
    by 5%(usd) due to uncertainty. gold in £'s has gone up by 15%
    but only cos £ has weakened. the amount of gold required to
    buy a tailored suit my now be 0.95 toz as opposed to 0.85toz.
    ie gold as a store of value has increased by 5% and not 15%.
     
    currently pricing gold in usd gives the clearest picture of any of
    the currencies available. it's more a practical thing to price gold
    in usd.
     
    HH
  3. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from AuricGoldfinger in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    chartist price gold in usd(currently) cos they want to know how
    the global price trend of gold is moving. pricing it in any other
    currency just introduces more variables.
    eg if £ drops by 10% versus $ and many other currencies. (for
    arguments sake) £ has 10% inflation so £1.10 is required to
    buy what was previously priced at £1.00. let's say gold goes up
    by 5%(usd) due to uncertainty. gold in £'s has gone up by 15%
    but only cos £ has weakened. the amount of gold required to
    buy a tailored suit my now be 0.95 toz as opposed to 0.85toz.
    ie gold as a store of value has increased by 5% and not 15%.
     
    currently pricing gold in usd gives the clearest picture of any of
    the currencies available. it's more a practical thing to price gold
    in usd.
     
    HH
  4. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from vand in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    chartist price gold in usd(currently) cos they want to know how
    the global price trend of gold is moving. pricing it in any other
    currency just introduces more variables.
    eg if £ drops by 10% versus $ and many other currencies. (for
    arguments sake) £ has 10% inflation so £1.10 is required to
    buy what was previously priced at £1.00. let's say gold goes up
    by 5%(usd) due to uncertainty. gold in £'s has gone up by 15%
    but only cos £ has weakened. the amount of gold required to
    buy a tailored suit my now be 0.95 toz as opposed to 0.85toz.
    ie gold as a store of value has increased by 5% and not 15%.
     
    currently pricing gold in usd gives the clearest picture of any of
    the currencies available. it's more a practical thing to price gold
    in usd.
     
    HH
  5. Thanks
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from Abyss in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    HH
  6. Like
    HawkHybrid reacted to sovereignsteve in Today I bought.....   
    They didn't overstamp the coins but the dies. Ir's not possible on the coins if you think about it as the date and legend are raised.
    Persoanlly I think it's a 3 over an inverted 3
  7. Super Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from HonestMoneyGoldSilver in Sold all my gold, got stung   
    misconception of charting. charting is not a crystal ball.
    it's like counting cards in a card game. it might increase
    your probability of winning overall, but is not guaranteed.
    at any point the market can still go both ways, but the odds
    of it moving in any one direction changes depending on the
    'sum' of what has happened before that.
    trading is a zero sum game. there must be losers for there
    to be winners. hence everyone cannot trade using charts to
    be millionaires(winners). 
     
    HH
  8. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from ilovesilverireallydo in Sold all my gold, got stung   
    misconception of charting. charting is not a crystal ball.
    it's like counting cards in a card game. it might increase
    your probability of winning overall, but is not guaranteed.
    at any point the market can still go both ways, but the odds
    of it moving in any one direction changes depending on the
    'sum' of what has happened before that.
    trading is a zero sum game. there must be losers for there
    to be winners. hence everyone cannot trade using charts to
    be millionaires(winners). 
     
    HH
  9. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from sixgun in Sold all my gold, got stung   
    on your chart, do you see the small body blue candle in early 2010.
    that was the first re test following the breakout of the now support
    zone ~$1000. the bottom of that candle doesn't actually touch
    your support zone(shaded zone). you need to increase your zone
    to include that re test. doing so would make the 2015 low another
    re test of that zone. I'm not convinced it needs to re test that support
    zone again.
     
    HH
     
  10. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from matrawr in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    not always true. trading long and short is not the same as
    buying and selling. I can borrow someone else's paper
    metal and sell it short(at a cost) in the hope to buy at a
    later date and profit from the difference. during the time
    that I've already sold and have yet to balance my position
    by buying a replacement, I'm net short with no counter
    long. this is what the author is referring to. shorting as it
    happens is bearish as it is selling. open shorts that have
    yet to close(buy a replacement) is considered bullish as
    short positions need to be closed to make a profit and
    the short is effectively a contract to buy at a later date.
     
    HH
  11. Haha
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from Martlet in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    https://www.gold-eagle.com/article/record-goldsilver-shorts
     
    worth a skim/read. existing positions in shorts means
    guaranteed buying potential as these positions will be
    closed at some point in time. what constitutes a big
    net short position is less of a science.
     
    HH
  12. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from Bullionbilly in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    https://www.gold-eagle.com/article/record-goldsilver-shorts
     
    worth a skim/read. existing positions in shorts means
    guaranteed buying potential as these positions will be
    closed at some point in time. what constitutes a big
    net short position is less of a science.
     
    HH
  13. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from engire in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    it's flawed. eg
     
    when someone buys silver they do not consume silver.
    eg I buy a 1 oz britannia 2015, I then plan to sell it for
    a profit at some point. I am not consuming 1 oz silver in
    2015. the 1 oz silver is still available to be sold by me.
     
    how has that helped the silver price since 2011?
     
    there's too many ifs and not enough hard data.
     
    HH
  14. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from matrawr in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    imo there's nothing peculiar or wrong with what happened
    friday. my reasoning is this. silver follows gold. silver is
    almost a fomo(fear of missing out) buy due to high gold
    prices. gold has risen the month of january by a not
    insignificant amount($100). it needs to either temporarily
    trade lower or trade sideways for a bit to allow everyone to
    catch up and accept the new price. traders took advantage
    of the news on friday to make money betting on a fall in the
    prices of both gold and silver. silver got hit worse because
    it's more volatile and maybe because the american markets
    dow etc also took a battering(2%). near term lower prices
    were coming it's just a matter of when and what 'reason'
    would trigger it. there is no reason for silver to rise yet and
    people who saw this sold to use their reserves elsewhere.
    the silver and gold cycles can be up to 40 years. in the
    short to medium term (20 years or less) fundamentals mean
    very little. remember that line 'it's not about what is true, it's
    about what I can prove in a court of law'. fundamental injustice
    will hold until it can be proven and proving something takes
    time. until miners are forced to close the current state is likely
    to continue.
     
    HH
  15. Like
    HawkHybrid reacted to Sovereign in Today I Received.....   
    So i sold my 1911 proof (NGC PF65) making a small profit 
    so i bought of ebay auctions 
    1937 PCGS AU53
    1902 PCGS PR62 Matte 
    2005 full bullion sov
    (few quid left over)
    not sure if i did the right thing ?
    let me know you thoughts what would you rather have?? ?
     

     





  16. Like
    HawkHybrid reacted to TheGoldSovereign in Today I Received.....   
    O, and someone delivered a few young heads 
    Have an afternoon of sorting them now!
     

  17. Like
    HawkHybrid reacted to mr-dead in Today I Received.....   
    Another Johnson Matthey + Umicore Brasil bar arrived.
    Think thats me officially done with stacking now
     

  18. Like
    HawkHybrid reacted to Panicbuying in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    As per Andy Hoffman, weakness in gold price might be because traders are frontrunning the fact that the Chinese are going to be on holiday next week... They're back 9 October, so time your purchases wisely
     

  19. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from TheGoldSovereign in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    £30 is +3% on £1000/oz
    including delivery it's only slightly higher than hgm?
     
    HH
  20. Like
    HawkHybrid reacted to lightjaw in Today I Received.....   
    I won a 2oz silver perth rooster from Chards in a competition! it arrived today with a nice note from them. I was very chuffed as I never win anything!
    Thank you Chards
  21. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from fehk2001 in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    £30 is +3% on £1000/oz
    including delivery it's only slightly higher than hgm?
     
    HH
  22. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from Scuzzle in Royal Mint 1oz Gold Lunar Coins   
    under spot including delivery for a cgt free coin,
    good value 
     
    HH
  23. Super Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from Gruff in Today I Received.....   
    I would be uncomfortable calling the lion one
    a bag mark. it's quite thick and not sharp, also
    it's on a non raised area so more akin to a
    scrape than a knock.
    I agree with ss, very good find on the obverse,
    but less so on the reverse.
     
    HH
  24. Like
    HawkHybrid reacted to motorbikez in Today I Received.....   
    September's prize draw win,1oz Kook from ChrisSilver ,lovely coin thanks.
     
     

  25. Like
    HawkHybrid got a reaction from SilverSniper in Today I Received.....   
    I know I do criticise these non regular pandas
    but should the ground paving near the number
    2016 not follow the perspective movement of
    the wall battlements as opposed to being all
    the same size and orientation?
     
    HH
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