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vand

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vand last won the day on May 14 2019

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  1. RSilver and RGold is just how far price is away from the 200day simple moving average. https://www.sunshineprofits.com/gold-silver/dictionary/relative-gold/
  2. When traders point out how correlated gold and Yen seem to be, I always sigh. Of course they are.. currencies are pairs trades, short one/long the other. When one currency is going down that tends to mean its going down against everything else. Gold/USD is partly a currency trade, and so the negative relationship is generally true, but like other currency pairs, and there can be periods were both trend together, just as USD and GBP can both get weaker against other major currencies. JPY/USD has about -0.9 correlated to Gold/USD AUD/USD has about -0.8 correlation to Gold/USD
  3. Recent price action is nicely supportive, as we are still around £20 and the moving averages are catching up. The r-Silver ratio has already contracted from 1.65 to 1.4. My guess is that we're probably still closer to the start of the correction than we are to the end of it, and another few weeks are probably needed. I have money ready to deploy but not in an immediate hurry.
  4. vand

    How much is too much

    From https://www.collaborativefund.com/blog/the-psychology-of-money/
  5. vand

    How much is too much

    I like that flowchart, but it's more of a guide to getting your personal finances in order rather than a guide in how to invest. Personal finance and investing have some overlap but also plenty of non-overlap too. Good personal finance provides the base of the pyramid and if done well then that may be enough to enable you to meet all your financial goals. Focussing on investing - the top of the pyramid - will always crumble without first getting the base of the pyramid right. I've never known anyone who's been able to succeed at the top levels of the pyramid enough to make up for having a
  6. Indiscriminate periodic rebalancing is far less logical to me than threshold-based rebalancing. The idea for rebalancing is to keep your portfolio's risk profile within tolerable range by taking advantage of mechanical selling high/buying low, but when the markets move quickly then your portfolio can get out of balance quickly regardless of chronological timeframes. The recent bear/bull market in the S&P is a very obvious example... if your strategy is to only rebalance once a year then you would have completely missed out on any rebalancing over the last 6 months and the opportunity
  7. vand

    How much is too much

    This a very incomplete - almost useless - discussion without getting a much clearer picture someone's overall financial position, goals and overall financial plan. - Do you have an sizeable emergency fund? - What is your savings rate? - Have you paid down all high interest debt? - Are you making the most of your employer's pension match? - Are you making the most of your L-ISA and pension allowance? - Do you have a house, are you saving for one, do you have a mortgage? - What are you realistic goals in the next 2, 5, 10 & 20 years? - What is your expectation for your inv
  8. I have to say that non-bullion doesn't interest me at all. The idea that you can scoop up loads of sterling or pre-1947 coins and think that you can easily liquidate it for anything better than bought it for (in relation to spot price) is asanine. I'd much rather just continue buying a silver ETF.
  9. Best method I can recommend for understanding this is Stan Weinstein's stage analysis. Big fan of his book. Right up any Chartist's alley.
  10. Price action suggests a very real chance we will move above the recent high rather than go below the recent low. With gold at $2000 right now I think it’s a coin flip whether we see $2200 or $1800 first.
  11. If its a 30yr cycle surely we're just seen the top of the cycle (1990 - 2020) and silver is the metal you want most exposure to for the next 20 years to coincide with the next bottom (1980-2010-2040)
  12. I don't "sell". I make considered decisions about my asset allocation.
  13. If anything thinks that mortgage rates can't go lower: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/danish-bank-is-offering-10-year-mortgages-with-negative-interest-rates.html
  14. Look closer at that chart - house prices have already been falling over the last 2-3 years, and over the last cycle growth spiked at under 10%, much lower than in previous cycles. The big crash that Rocky2000 is hoping for simply isn't going to happen. Or if it does he won't be any better for it as he won't be able to get access to the cheap finance he needs to take advantage or, worse, won't have a job.
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