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FriedrichVonHayek

Silver Premium Member
  • Posts

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  • Trading Feedback

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  • Country

    United Kingdom

Reputation Activity

  1. Haha
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to gji25 in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Get a higher paid job maybe ?
  2. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to stefffana in Wanted - Scrap 925 silver coins   
    If it is sterling silver fully functional or coins in good shape, a minimum of spot plus post should be expected.
    If it is scrap for melting pot, @85-90% spot is possible.
    Unfortunately I have not any scrap exactly 100g, but I can satisfy your soul with an object for melting pot weighting 145.8g of sterling silver, for £90 posted 2nd class. This is equivalent of 90% spot posted.
    Cheers!🤗
     
  3. Super Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from stefffana in Wanted - Scrap 925 silver coins   
    You may have to up your price, its around 87.5% of the Sterling spot price.
  4. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from Silverman2U in Wanted - Scrap 925 silver coins   
    If you know of anybody let me know👍
  5. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from katyc in Wanted - Scrap 925 silver coins   
    You may have to up your price, its around 87.5% of the Sterling spot price.
  6. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to Chronos in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    You will have to start buying si**er.
    I have already reported myself to Chris so you guys don't have to ...
  7. Super Like
  8. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to katyc in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    With all this intelligent technical and fundamental talk going on, I thought I should contribute: 
    D'yah like my new mug? 😬

  9. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from 0laf5on in 1kg Sterling Silver £660 or 500g for £345 freepost, investment bundles.   
    1kg Sterling Silver £660 or 500g for £345 freepost, investment bundles.
    You will receive a random bag of hallmarked .925 Silver Medallions and Ingots.
    The picture below is the type of items you will receive.
    Bank transfer or PayPal F&F.

  10. Super Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from stefffana in 1050g Sterling Kiloware for a Full Sovereign and a Half Sovereign or 3 Half Sovereigns   
    1050g Sterling Kiloware for a Full Sovereign and a Half Sovereign or 3 Half Sovereigns
    I will pay the postage my end and the person willing to swap pays their end.
    Picture below is an example of what you will receive.
    They will be fully hallmarked medallions and ingots.

  11. Super Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from Gruff in 1050g Sterling Kiloware for a Full Sovereign and a Half Sovereign or 3 Half Sovereigns   
    1050g Sterling Kiloware for a Full Sovereign and a Half Sovereign or 3 Half Sovereigns
    I will pay the postage my end and the person willing to swap pays their end.
    Picture below is an example of what you will receive.
    They will be fully hallmarked medallions and ingots.

  12. Haha
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to stefffana in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    I am surprised you noticed, but yes, indeed, I've slowed down a little my coins purchases from Ebay... resulting in an almost instantly increase of prices for spoons, trays and forks.
  13. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to theman73 in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    The proof that the supply and demand economy is dead and the price is made by paper trading. Shame shame shame
  14. Thanks
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to NextDayBullion in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    I wonder who brought the scrap they must of been experienced to buy it up.🤔
  15. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to JamesH in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    Prices have risen too quickly and it’s just taking time for buyers to adjust to the new levels. If we see a period of stability to the prices, I’m sure buyers will return en masse
  16. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to katyc in Silver Monitoring Thread £ (GBP) only.   
    I find it bonkers kilos are £750 on the forum, but £1000 at dealers. I feel we should be closer to £800 (which is a fraction under 10% premium), but I also understand the recent bull run is causing cautious investors (fear of the bear), including myself too!
    The current forum rate of £750 kilos, basically shows we were better off buying scrap as @FriedrichVonHayek has stated in the current market.
    As @Petra would say; keep buying!
  17. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to KRO in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    ROSS NORMAN UPDATE


     
    We may have found our smoking gun … or mystery buyer. To be honest it came a little out of left-field and was not quite where we expected to find it.
    As always it is never an entirely simple answer, but a collection of things, but for sure there is also a stand-out issue too. I'll explain. 
    Those price supporting factors are well known and can be summarised as being primarily central bank buying, large OTC options bets and Chinese demand ; it was clear Chinese demand was “strong” but it also had some powerful compensating factors, such as weak Indian demand while European and US physical offtake has been dire with one of the sharpest corrections in living memory – in fact there has been significant destocking going on ; German bullion dealers are swamped with buy-backs, Mints are reporting declines in sales of between 80% and 95% and gold coins and bars are flowing wholesale to the major Swiss refineries where they converted into 99.99% purity kilobars, then shipped to China. We knew the flow from West to East was "strong", it was the magnitude we hadn't adequately accounted for.
    The perhaps unsurprising answer to the mystery buyer … is China … just a lot more China than we might ever have imagined. On the face of it, yes retail demand is hot, and the central bank bought just 5 tonnes last month (that's roughly half one days gold mine production) – so great some headlines, but not really all that significant. 
    More impressively 124 tonnes was drawn down from the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which is seen as a proxy for domestic demand, taking Q1 offtake to 522 tonnes – very impressive and roughly double what we would expect to see. Meanwhile ETF gold demand remains small by any comparison. Great – but still no biscuit. 
    Our view that an options play is a contributory factor still stands, but again not sufficient to account for the price action we have seen. More HERE
     
    Where the demand seems to be coming from - as the table below shows - is actually from the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) - often wrongly regarded as the smaller brother of the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE). 
    Daily gold turnover on the SHFE last year averaged $13.89 b/day (=billion dollars per day) – well behind London's LBMA average turnover at $78.91 b/day and New York's CME at $44.3 b/day. 
    And then things changed in March 2024, just when the gold price went through an inflection point. Business on SHFE essentially doubled in a month and then doubled again to nearly $40 b/day. That's headed for roughly half the size of the London market in 2 months.
    This might explain why gold had not responded to news for example that the Fed would hold rates higher-for-longer as well as other bearish indicators. The buyers were likely looking at Chinese domestic issues. 
    So, two questions – what does this mean about the centre of gravity for global trading … and what does the SHFE futures buying mean for the outlook for the gold price ?
    Too early to say whether the price discovery process is shifting to the East. Two exceptional trading months are insufficient to make any claim. But liquidity begets more liquidity and the momentum is certainly with China. Exchanges generate their own gravitational pull – its all a bit binary – and London has held the role for centuries as the leading hub, in much the same way that the London Metal Exchange (LME) has done for base metals. 
    Arguably the Chinese gold price is not adequately representative as a fair global benchmark because it is landlocked – gold cannot be readily exported and hence it could be argued that it only represents the domestic position. But as the world's largest producer and consumer, one would imagine that China has ambitions to be THE price-setter.
    On the price direction … well in order to understand the gold market one would need to take a greater account of how things are seen through Chinese eyes – certainly just now. 
    As regards the price outlook itself … well that depends upon who is placing very large leveraged futures positions on SHFE (speculative or hedging ?) ; SHFE is not cash settled like CME and is for physical delivery which could create an interesting squeeze … generally though I would suggest the buying is of a lesser quality to say Chinese retail demand and central bank demand. 
    That is to suggest that the gold rally up to $2100 looks assured, but the $300 on top ... less so. 
     _______________________________
    Ross Norman
  18. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to Upsidedown in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Gives elites the chance to get ahead of market instability before open
  19. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to Upsidedown in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Be on Friday night most likely, these things usually are
  20. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from jultorsk in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    They'll probably hold off until the markets are closed at the weekend.
  21. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to Gruff in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    To create panic and fear, as the vast majority are easily manipulated controlled when fearful
  22. Super Like
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from Go65 in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    They'll probably hold off until the markets are closed at the weekend.
  23. Haha
    FriedrichVonHayek got a reaction from 9x883 in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    They'll probably hold off until the markets are closed at the weekend.
  24. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to SilverTalent in Krugerrands Silver Bullion Coins 2023   
    Sealed tubes Available  
    £625  sent Special  Delivery 

  25. Like
    FriedrichVonHayek reacted to Bratnia in Gold Monitoring Thread £ GBP only   
    Insider trading, haven't yet averaged-in enough into gold, when they have .... kick off and start averaging out/profit taking.
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