Low Mintage = Premium?

[DiegoMartin]

All else being equal I wanted to know if what mintage would be considered low to potentially charge a premium in the future? E.g. 2023 1oz Aussie Dragon Bars have a mintage of 250k, 2023 1OZ Beskar Bars have a mintage of 50k this year.

[Petra]

What are you in to? The Beskar bar design really does nothing for me, whereas I think the dragon bars are great. Buy what you like, if you’re not sure… buy both!🤔😮

[DiegoMartin]

40 minutes ago, Petra said:

What are you in to? The Beskar bar design really does nothing for me, whereas I think the dragon bars are great. Buy what you like, if you’re not sure… buy both!🤔😮

Thanks. I've bought both. just curious.

[GBStacking]

i think it's always a combination of both mintage and design. Unless there are only about 10 of them, something really ugly is going to have to work really really hard to command a premium. I wouldn't personally consider the Aussie Dragon bars low mintage, i like the design, but think they are way over priced when they come up for sale. Beskar bars are good if you are into Star Wars, not really an inspiring design if you had never heard of the film series, but at a 50K mintage, i think you would still get some premium. In terms of my own buying, once you get to 25k and lower, I'd be prepared to pay some reasonable premium if i really wanted the design or was trying to complete a set.

Please note, my own personal stack is very much bullion weight focused, so whilst i do appreciate a pretty coin, I'm not the kind of person to be looking to fill my stack with premium stuff so the points above may only relate to my particular position.

[TeaTime]

No one can predict which popular items will remain so.  What could be considered a great short-term gain could end up as bullion for a variety of reasons. Series gets cancelled. Enough product for demand. Gary Glitter endorses the product.......

Saying that i consider the legal-tender Australian dragon coin/bars as a good bet for modest growth because they are quirky and appeal to more than one audience - they also have a numismatic appeal. 

 

[Minted]

I don't consider 50k to be low mintage.  Would need to be less than 10k for me.

Though I don't think the Beskar bar is interesting enough to warrant a premium at all.  (I did buy one though lol).  

I've got dragon bars from previous years but not keen on this years design.

As someone suggested above, just buy what you like...pop culture changes over time.  Mandalorian might all be forgotten about in 5 years time.

[tpcob303]

Around 3000 or lower is when premiums really take place, with exceptions of course like modern GE gothics.