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STG prices relation to spot.


simon13

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Also remember that when we look at spot it's £:$.  STG will use €:$.  Then when we see their price it is then £:€.  Therefore, currency fluctuations will also cause a change in price even if spot remains unchanged for us.

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There was a moment earlier this morning where USD spot was down, but GBP spot was up, because the currencies moved against each other. As I type this, Bloomberg is showing USD at 0.00 movement, EUR at +0.02 and GBP at +0.01. Basically they have the potential to be all over the place and a move in one doesn't correspond to a move in the other.

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It's getting too complicated now.

 

Lets say spot in US$ today and yesterday is the same.  Lets also say that £:$ and €:$ yesterday and today also remained the same.  But lets say the £:€ changed.  Although spot was unchanged there is a price difference when buying in £ against the €.  The movement and price changes and differences can go in all directions.

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It's getting too complicated now.

Lets say spot in US$ today and yesterday is the same. Lets also say that £:$ and €:$ yesterday and today also remained the same. But lets say the £:€ changed. Although spot was unchanged there is a price difference when buying in £ against the €. The movement and price changes and differences can go in all directions.

I don't think that is possible in the real world. As a currency either gets stronger or weaker it will have a better/worse exchange rate against all currencies that haven't changed value.

Also if £:$ and €:$ remained the same but there was a price change between £ and €. Then arbitrage would mean that this would not stay for long as traders would be buying one currency then another then back to the original currency with a profit.

My posts are my personal opinions, they do not constitute advice or financial advice.

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I don't think that is possible in the real world. As a currency either gets stronger or weaker it will have a better/worse exchange rate against all currencies that haven't changed value.

Also if £:$ and €:$ remained the same but there was a price change between £ and €. Then arbitrage would mean that this would not stay for long as traders would be buying one currency then another then back to the original currency with a profit.

 

I was trying to illustrate it as simply as possible.

 

But as a currency gets weaker or stronger, it doesn't mean it will always have a matching exchange rate on other currencies otherwise it would all be directly proportional and related.  I don't think it is possible to have a currency that is unchanged against all other currencies.

In the real world, currency fluctuations would be in real time and all three (and the rest of the world currencies) would always be moving in various directions against/with each other.  Some currencies actually mirror other currencies because they are directly linked (or near as).

The £ is ever so slightly stronger against the € than the $ when compared to 1st Oct last year.

 

Yes, traders do buy currencies and then trade them back again for profit.  Joe public have been able to do it with multi currency bank accounts in the Far East for years.

 

At the end of the day there are so many factors which can influence many markets including currencies, and movement can be dramatic as well as subtle and it is the traders who can manipulate these movements and capitalise on gains.

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And yet, when it comes down to it, all you can do is buy at the price you are offered. Spot price can do what it likes, the only concern I have now is: "Is this a good deal; am I happy with the price?"

There was a point where I would watch the price all the time, bemoaning when I had missed a dip or bought just before one, but the retail price movements weren't actually very large. In ten years time, will an extra £ here or there really matter?

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